Impact of Macy’s Store Closures

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Source: Business Insider

On January 4th, 2018, Macy’s announced that it would close seven store locations, on top of four other previously announced closures (part of a plan announced in August 2016 to close 100 stores nationwide, ~15% of store base)*. Liquidation sales began on January 8th and continued for eight to twelve weeks.

We looked into closure cities (some of which are multi-store markets) to analyze the impact of liquidation sales*:

Although sales in cities with at least one closure accelerated ~6 pts more than the rest of the country from December to February, those markets make up less than 7.5% of all of Macy’s sales.

 

Macy's in-store sales

In-store sales in cities with at least one closure accelerated from December to January by ~5pts more than the rest of the country. A slow February, however, could imply that the benefit from sales in physical stores was short lived.

 

Macy's total panel sales

Interestingly, within closure cities, February online sales accelerated more than the rest of the country, which – if the trend persists – could be a ray of hope for Macy’s. We will be monitoring this online/in-store dynamic throughout the quarter.

 

Macy's online vs. in-store sales

*Macy’s locations with store closures are located in California, Indiana, Florida, Idaho, Michigan, Ohio, and Vermont.


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